European Central Bank: It is estimated that the GDP growth rate will be 0.7% in 2024, 1.1% in 2025, 1.4% in 2026 and 1.3% in 2027. (It is expected to be 0.8%, 1.3% and 1.5% respectively in September) It is estimated that the core inflation rate will be 2.9% in 2024, 2.3% in 2025 and 1.9% in 2026. (It is expected to be 2.8%, 2.3% and 2.0% respectively in September) It is estimated that the core inflation rate will be 1.9% in 2027.Japanese government bond futures rose, recovering some of the earlier declines.ECB: Most indicators show that the inflation rate will stabilize at 2%.
Leshan Guotou Group and others set up an industrial guidance equity investment fund with a capital contribution of 4.5 billion yuan. According to Tianyancha App, recently, Leshan Jiarong Industrial Guidance Equity Investment Fund Partnership (Limited Partnership) was established, and the executive partner is Leshan Guorong Equity Investment Fund Management Co., Ltd., with a capital contribution of 4.5 billion yuan, and its business scope includes investment activities with its own funds. According to the partner information, the fund is jointly funded by Leshan State-owned Assets Investment and Operation (Group) Co., Ltd., Leshan Finance Bureau and Leshan Guorong Equity Investment Fund Management Co., Ltd.The news of the US stock market was delivered before the market. ① The three major stock index futures of the US stock market fell, and the market focused on PPI data. ② As of press time, Dow futures fell 0.19%, S&P 500 futures fell 0.18%, and Nasdaq futures fell 0.27%. (3) Germany's DAX index rose by 0.06%, Britain's FTSE 100 index rose by 0.11%, France's CAC40 index fell by 0.04% and Europe's Stoxx 50 index fell by 0.03%. ④WTI crude oil fell 0.06% to 70.25 USD/barrel. Brent crude oil fell 0.07% to $73.47/barrel. ⑤ American finance is under great pressure, with a budget deficit of $366.8 billion in November, up 17% year-on-year. ⑥ ING is bearish on the prospect of commodities next year, and gold is expected to outshine others. ⑦ Macy's department store fell 8.2% before the market, and the company lowered its profit outlook after discovering accounting errors. 8 Broadcom's share price rose by 4.3% before the market closed. In the news, Apple may cooperate with Broadcom to develop AI server chips. 9 ⑨Adobe's U.S. stocks fell by about 9% before the market, and the company's annual performance guidance was worse than expected.Analyst: The interest rate of the European Central Bank will be pushed to the low end of the neutral range. Marchel Alexandrovich, an economist at Saltmarsh Economics, said that the European Central Bank cut interest rates by 25 basis points again, which is the fourth time in this easing cycle. The monetary policy statement reiterated that the Committee would not commit to a specific interest rate path in advance. However, the new forecast shows that the core inflation rate is 1.9% in 2026 and 2027, which indicates that interest rates may continue to push to the low end of the neutral range.
The European Central Bank gave up the idea of keeping interest rates "restrictive".The legal representative of Sanzhiyang Culture Media Co., Ltd. changed. Tianyancha App showed that on December 10, Hefei Sanzhiyang Culture Media Co., Ltd. changed its business. Ba Shuai stepped down as the legal representative, executive director and general manager, and Zhang Yong was the legal representative, director and manager. The company was established in May 2022 with a registered capital of RMB 1 million. Its business scope includes radio and television program production and operation, performance brokerage, advertising, organization of cultural and artistic exchange activities, conference and exhibition services, etc. It is wholly owned by Hefei Sanzhiyang Network Technology Co., Ltd.Black futures fell rapidly in the short term, with the main contracts of hot coil and coking coal falling by more than 1%, and the main contracts of coke, thread and iron ore falling by nearly 1%.
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide 12-13